All Sunday, the staff of the regional election commissions briskly reported to the CEC chairman that “the voting is taking place in a regular mode”. It was in the normal mode that what all the experts predicted was that “United Russia” with its candidates for governor, regional and municipal deputies would gain the majority it needed. Someone suggested postscripts, someone stuffing ballots. But this time, the extremely low voter turnout at the polling stations was a fundamental factor.
In the elections to the representative bodies of municipalities in the cities of Cherkessk, Barnaul, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Vladivostok, Kursk, Tver and Yaroslavl, United Russia received from 40 to 78% of the votes of the citizens who came to the polls. Given that, say, in Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, the turnout was a record low of 14.8%.
As for the gubernatorial elections, in all five regions where the voting took place, ER nominees also won, with the support being announced even higher - from 64% in the Ryazan region for Oleg Kovalev to 77% for Evgeny Savchenko in the Belgorod region and Oleg Kozhemyako in the Amur region.
The nominees of 26 political parties participated in elections at various levels, but only old-timers from the political field of the country could almost get votes. Although, for example, in the Urals, for the first time, candidates from the Green Party will receive deputy mandates, which won 14.88% in the Berezovsky urban district. The Party of Pensioners of Russia gathered 9.38% of the votes in Kamensk-Uralsky, and the People’s Party For Women of Russia in the same Kamensk-Uralsky acquired 6.02%.
According to the head of the election monitoring department of the Golos Association, Andrei Buzin, the indifference and mistrust of voters towards the elections has been persistently worked out and encouraged by the authorities over the past 9 years. “The administration in this election has significantly reduced its desire to increase turnout,” an expert told “NI”. - She had no desire to attract voters, because everyone understood that those people who come to the polling station because they have nothing to do will vote the way they were inspired by the media. If we talk about the election of governors, there was simply still very low competition, because only representatives of parliamentary parties participated in them. ” According to the expert, the opposition has not yet adapted to such large-scale elections; many have not been given chances by the municipal filter, which has limited the participation of self-promoted governors in the elections. “The increase in civic activism, which occurred at the end of last year, has not yet reached the general public,” says Andrei Buzin. “It has spread only to the most active part of the society, which took part in the observation and partly in the municipal elections.”
“The situation with violations is the same as it was in previous years,” political analyst Andrei Buzin believes. - Often the violators and accomplices of the violations were the election organizers. The fact that they were not prosecuted before this, despite the fact that there were no less violations before, is very significant. They always find "scapegoats" who are brought to absolutely insignificant responsibility, and this is one of the reasons that the practice of violations at elections extends even more widely. "
The vice-president of the international organization “For Fair Elections”, Mikhail Polyansky, believes that there is no need to lament over violations, because parties have the opportunity to observe the elections. “I was among the observers of the Association“ Civil Control ”in the Novgorod region, where the elections were held for the governor,” the expert told NI. - We carried out work that allowed us to recognize these elections as fair and legitimate. In Novgorod the turnout was 43%, maybe it is not the way we would like. But all political parties that are not even represented in parliament - “Yabloko”, “Patriots of Russia”, and so on, are included in the precinct election commissions. Therefore, some kind of dominant party or public organization could not exercise pressure. ”
Meanwhile, observers are not always able to cope even with obvious falsifications. The case of the election of municipal deputies Bogoroditsk Tula region proves this fact. A member of the election commission from the Yabloko party, Lyudmila Egorova, prevented the stuffing of a pack of 80 ballots at her polling station. When the investigation of the incident began, two young men broke into the PEC premises and tried to take this pack away. They did not achieve the desired result, but they broke Ms. Egorova’s finger. “The bulletins that they wanted to throw in falsifiers were saved,” Vladimir Dorokhov, the leader of the Tula Yabloko, told NI. - We have all recorded: that the bulletins of the established form, they have stamps of the election commission, the signatures of two members of the commission - they are attached to the case file. These 80 ballots: 40 in the single-member constituency and 40 in the party lists - about 25 percent of the total turnout in this polling station. That is, if the stuffing was a success, then United Russia would get a quarter of the votes here. We wrote a complaint to the territorial election commission, to the police, to the prosecutor’s office, we will seek an investigation. ”
As Vladimir Dorokhov said, three parties do not recognize the results of the municipal elections in Bogoroditsk: the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, “SR” and “Yabloko”. Of these parties, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (18%) and “CP” (11%) overcame the barrier for passing to the city assembly of deputies, but the oppositionists are going to give up their mandates “as a sign of disagreement”.
Among other things, activists suspect that at the local elections, low turnout was artificially inflated to carry out stuffing of already filled ballots. “Our observers recorded the turnout, and for 40–50 people in almost all polling stations it did not coincide with the turnout recorded by the election commission,” Vladimir Dorokhov told “NO”. - That is, we suspect that for this amount there was a ballot stuffing at each polling station. This is about 25 percent. Therefore, we will now address these issues in law enforcement and the courts. ”
According to the leader of Izhevsk “Patriots of Russia” Sergey Shchukin, in the cities of Udmurtia, on the contrary, “black technologies” were used to reduce turnout. Allegedly, on the eve of the elections, during the week there was a mass telephone call to citizens, where "a mechanical voice with a thug accent" told people, "we know where you live, we know your phone number." “All this was massive and as a result, the turnout was reduced to a minimum,” Mr. Shchukin explained to “NO”. “There has never been such a turnout (at the level of 25–30%) in the cities of Udmurtia.” “Patriots of Russia” did not pass to the state council of the republic, failing to get only 0.5% of the votes.
As for other regions, for example, the turnout at the elections to the Sakhalin Oblast Duma was 27%. United Russia believes that their rivals are to blame for the low turnout. “Where the turnout was low, lower than in the previous elections, this first of all meant one thing: that the opposition never presented any interesting candidates who would be real competitors of United Russia, no interesting programs,” Yesterday the Deputy Secretary of the United Russia General Council Andrei Isaev said. The politician believes that a significant number of citizens supporting the current government go to the polls if they see a threat to a change in the political balance of power.
Political opponents of United Russia hold a fundamentally different opinion. As stated by "NO" by the co-chairman of RPR-PARNAS, Vladimir Ryzhkov, people lost faith in power and do not go to the polls. “The low turnout is definitely shocking,” stated the politician. - But I believe that this is due not to the fact that the opposition forces do not have bright leaders, but to the fact that the authorities simply discredited the elections. Citizens vote, but nothing changes, hence people have an opinion: what's the difference for whom I vote if everything remains in its place. ”
Vladimir Ryzhkov, being a candidate for deputies of the Barnaul City Duma, watched the elections and believed that they "went awful." “In Barnaul, we first entered the parliament with an official result of 5.5 percent, but in reality we have 8–9 percent. “ER” has the official result of 50 percent, and the real one is only 35, - Mr. Ryzhkov shared his assessments. - We littered the city with observers, but the fraud was terrible - by our estimate, 20 thousand votes out of 80 thousand voter turnout. That is, every fourth vote was thrown. In Saratov, RPR-PARNAS drew 0.5 percent with real 7–8 percent, and “EP” drew 80 percent with real 50 ”.
In general, it can be stated that the opposition reluctantly participated in the elections. Thus, out of 2416 candidates for deputies of local dumas of the Irkutsk Region, 163 were representatives of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, 27 - “SR”, 13 - LDPR, 4 - “Patriots of Russia” and only one candidate from Yabloko. All the rest - representatives of the "ER". In this case, it is not surprising that it was pro-government candidates who won 70% of the seats in local Dumas.
“The results of the Single day of voting in Russia can be briefly described with one line from the famous song of the Soviet era:“ A man passes, as masters, his vast country ”. So, it is only necessary to replace the abstract concept of “person” with the personified word “United Russia”. And everything else will fully comply with the political realities of today’s Russia, ”the independent political analyst Yury Zhitnyak commented so succinctly on the results of the Sunday elections.
regular mode - 3.20 regular mode: A set of regular operations. Source: GOST R 54317 2011: Start-up and technical rocket-space complexes. Safety requirements …
normal DH operation - the design mode of DH - [A.S.Goldberg. English Russian energy dictionary. 2006] Themes of power engineering in general Synonyms design mode of operation DH EN design mode ...
regular water chemistry - (at thermal power plants, nuclear power plants) [A.S. Goldberg. English Russian energy dictionary. 2006] Energy topics in general en normal water regimeNWR ... Technical Translator's Guide
standby - 3.23 standby mode: The mode of operation of the device, in which the main functions of the device are not performed and the device is ready to go into normal operation. A source … Vocabulary-reference terms of regulatory and technical documentation
Regular mode of operation of the technical means of signaling, in which it is able to perform specified target functions. [RD 25.03.001 2002] Themes of the object security and safety system EN standby mode ... Technical Translator's Guide
standby technical alarm system - 3.2.1 standby technical signaling mode: Regular mode of operation of technical signaling equipment in which it is able to perform specified target functions Source: RD 25.03.001 2002: Object security and safety systems. ... ... Vocabulary-reference terms of regulatory and technical documentation
normal water chemistry - regular water chemical regime (at TPP) [A.S. Goldberg. English Russian energy dictionary. 2006] Energy topics in general Synonyms regular water chemistry EN normal water chemistry ... Technical Translator's Guide
RD 25.03.001-2002: Object security and safety systems. Terms and Definitions - Terminology RD 25.03.001 2002: Security and safety systems of objects. Terms and definitions: 2.36.8 emergency lighting (at the guarded object): Valid in case of an accident at the facility only at the moment when the main lighting is turned off, allowing ... ... Vocabulary-reference terms of regulatory and technical documentation
Type Household Computer Released ... Wikipedia
This term has other meanings, see BC (family of computers) (meanings). BK (family of computers) Type ... Wikipedia
Krymsk City Flag Coat of Arms ... Wikipedia
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- Digital television, Karyakin Vladimir Leonidovich. The manual is devoted to the consideration of the general principles of building systems and networks of digital television, compression of digital signals, image and sound. Digital technology is considered ...
In normal mode
This year, autumn, as is known, made presents to everyone: not only to us, consumers, who have not lacked comfort all these three months; but also to those who produce, if I may say so, man-made heat, who were able to save a little. Of course, neither this mutual commitment, nor responsibility, nor, all the more, the inevitable winter cold, this autumn has not abolished ...
How did December start in Dimitrovgrad, is everything done so that “surprises” do not happen? This was told by the chairman of the committee on housing and communal complex and construction V. Bondarev.
Vladimir Alexandrovich assured that everything is proceeding normally, there are significantly fewer calls to emergency dispatch services than last year, and problems that inevitably arise in a large urban economy are resolved quite promptly, without doing the “weather”. Although, in a certain sense, the weather still affects the climate in our apartments - the boiler houses continue to work "fully". There are energy consumption limits for each heat source, taking into account the outdoor temperature. To marry them means to allow overruns. Alas, everyone is forced to save today. Of course, not at the expense of others.
An illustrative example of the collision of interests of heat producers and citizens is the situation that has arisen in the 16th microdistrict (Osipenko st.), In which the boiler house of the 78/3 LI 78 is heated. The institution really does not receive the full amount of money for the heat released, however, to ensure the normal functioning of residential buildings is a direct responsibility of the heat source. Today, the questions on heat have been removed here, but another problem has appeared - the temperature of the hot water does not meet the standards. They hope to solve it with the help of an “arbitrator” - the sanitary and epidemiological surveillance service, since it is a question of providing poor-quality public services, which may affect the health of citizens.
Does the city have debts to gas suppliers today? They are not so big as to sound the alarm, believes V. Bondarev. Although, of course, large boiler houses - NIAR TPP and Resource LLC - feel their burden.
In general, the current calculations with gas producers are made quite accurately. This year, the city was calculated even for old debts. Suffice it to say that as of January 1, 2005, all heat sources of Dimitrovgrad were supposed to pay 28 million 800 thousand rubles for blue fuel, and by November 30 this debt was already five million 900 thousand rubles. True, in December completely different accounts were presented - the winter began ...
As before, the population remains in debtors, not fully paying the heat they receive at the wrong time. Therefore, the task to enter a new year without debts is not an easy one: we will, as usual, “drag” debts into January, since we will go to pay for December already in the first month of 2007.
And finally (for the umpteenth time), about the unpleasant. The Regional Energy Commission approved the cost of gigakaloriya for all boilers (in accordance with the growth of prices for energy resources), which means that in December we will have another change in tariffs. Of course, not downward.
What does the normal mode mean? The staff is a permanent resource provided staff. Regular mode is a set of possible and planned conditions for goal achievement. He painted on the notes, the expected performers and resources. If the case turns out in such a way that this regular mode will play in full voice - all the necessary conditions of such a party are ready. Regardless of the current version of the work, other spare parts are waiting for their fate in exactly the same conditions as the best one. Just as astronauts train two or three crews, so a safe business should provide for several incarnation lines. All of them are expected, i.e. resource secured. Established project modes are resource-provided project states and action plans for managing them in order to remove a project from negative deviations and bring it to an optimal mode.
The main idea is that it is necessary to forecast such possible deviations in advance. Under each forecast, the cash resource availability should be checked in order to predict the relevant project situations. Otherwise, you may be in a stalemate: you will have nothing to respond to these unfavorable circumstances. That is why the more difficulties you will be able to recognize at the start, the more ready you will be to face them. In life, those who profess a non-risky religion, behave differently: scraping up money for a couple of regular regimes, they rush into business, and then run around friends, looking for means to pull out the affairs and themselves from the hole into which they fell. Well, who would have thought! It is necessary to think in advance.
The motto of riskology: "From predicting difficulties - to planning ways to overcome them." Planning means scrupulous calculation of options. A well-designed project of medium complexity can provide for up to several dozens of regular situations that are necessarily checked for resource availability. Burn in the design of the case with the staffing modes tricky. Another thing, when you are faced with situations and modes of abnormal.
· abnormal modes
As soon as the entrepreneur’s thought of the entrepreneur is confronted with material life, it changes, and mostly for the worse. A mass of previously unaccounted factors appears that reject movement toward a given goal. Such conditions, facing the entrepreneur along the way, require permission. These unexpected options are called abnormal project modes. If you now return to the beginning of the Practicum, you will find that the reason for the punctures in entrepreneurship just perfectly fits the concept of non-nominal regime. All the oversights of the case are for the most part just abnormal regimes - responses of the case to unexpected conditions that destabilize the project.
Very often, such project deviations in an unexpected direction require investor intervention. When it comes to painful symptoms
· We are talking about undesirable project conditions and corresponding investment consequences.
negative and critical investment consequences
A disease affair requires treatment. Undesirable design states are characterized by the requirement of additional resource investments for stabilizing the project - bringing him to one of the regular modes. As soon as the project gets into such states, for the investor they automatically turn into negative consequences: the problem of additional investments in the business rises to its full height. The negativeness of such additional investments may escalate to the extreme, when the project will require emergency assistance in excess of the permissible limits, which the investor may simply not be. To save such a patient is hard. Negative consequences are unplanned additional investment of resources to bring a project out of unwanted states and bring it to normal operation. They become critical when the entrepreneur does not have sufficient funds to wriggle out of a difficult situation. (It should be noted that money and time are not always implied by means.) The approach of Riskology is that we do not consider various deviations of the case as something finite and incorrigible. The orthodox approach in the form of a desire to avoid such situations is only a particular, far from the only solution proposed by the R-system.
RISK AND RISK FACTOR IN THE LIGHT OF RISKOLOGY
negative circumstances
· Any combination of environmental conditions, the onset of which leads the project to transition to a lower productivity mode - regular or non-standard.
critical negative circumstances
Similar external impacts that lead to abnormal conditions with negative or critical consequences.
risk - the possibility of negative circumstances
Notice how the content of our interpretation of risk differs from the commonly used one, in which risk usually means probability:
· Loss of resources;
· Loss of income;
· The emergence of unforeseen additional costs. Perhaps only the last point represents an analogue of our term. For us, risk means, for the most part, switching a project from one regular mode to another.
Strictly speaking, the risk in the P-system is the probability of a concrete embodiment of the reason for the deviation of a project from a given mode to a less effective mode. In its most dangerous incarnation, risk is the cause of the occurrence of negative circumstances, causing undesirable consequences, i.e. lack of stabilization funds.
risk factor
If risk is a type of real threat to a cause, then the cause of such a threat is called a risk factor. The manifestation of a risk factor is many-sided: the same reason, the same risk factor, reaching for a particular case, can have different guises and generate externally diverse risks. For example, the collapse of the ruble exchange rate by a handful of stock market players subordinate to the ill will of the Primary Player became the reason for the sharp rise in the dollar price. It is necessary to think for them that act did not seem to be a risk factor (we take into account only the “business interest”, omitting the possible negative consequences from the injured representatives of the establishment). If at that moment you were playing at a stable rate and were in the span, for your business, the players' actions posed a constant threat - a risk factor that appeared on Black Tuesday at a specific risk - the refusal of buying your currency. , it is most likely that the funds for the conversion of the ruble mass were missed, which was provoked by the same risk factor - a currency exchange game. It is very likely that someone in the situation in question suffered personally. For him, the risk factor could have a completely different particular manifestation, but at the same time it continued to be the same as that of the other victims. Finally, pay attention to the duality of any risk factor. If you had an export product at that time, you undoubtedly made a profit. So the rule is unchanged.
